MLB Player Prop Picks For Today

MLB Player Prop Bets for Today

MLB is back, and every day throughout the MLB season, we'll update this article to reveal the most exploitable MLB player prop picks.

Scroll down to see our favorite prop picks for today, including home runs, RBI, total bases and strikeouts!

MLB Hitting Prop Picks

Check out our favorite hitting props today. Find out our best bet to hit a home run, who has a chance to get some RBIs, and who will collect the most total bases.

Home Run Prop Picks

Want to know the best bets to hit a home run today? Check out our favorite home run prop picks for today.

Astros' Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 HR at Rockies (+210, BetMGM)

This game isn't actually being played in Colorado, and instead will be played in a ballpark that is somehow BETTER for offense than Coors Field. Yes, ladies and gentleman, it is the return of the Mexico City Series. These games are always extremely high-scoring due to how small the ballpark is and the high altitude. Think of it as Coors Field on steroids.

I expect both teams to be launching nukes out of the stadium all game long, so much so that Astros' hitter Yordan Alvarez isn't even listed for a HR prop at the books. He's so likely to hit one today that they won't take action on it. Just incredible. Instead, we'll back his teammate Diaz to take one deep. The catcher packs some serious power in his bat and is hitting .274 in the early going. In this ballpark, he won't even need to hit it as hard as he can to get a homer.

In addition, he gets to face RHP Cal Quantrill on the mound today, as well as a poor Rockies bullpen that I expect to get lit up. More on Quantrill in the next prop.

RBI Prop Picks

Need some RBI props for today's games? We have you covered, check out our favorite RBI prop bets.

Astros' Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBI at Rockies (-174, Caesars)

Since we can't back him to hit a home run today, I'll take him to record an RBI at this absolutely insane price of -174 for a unit. You will NEVER see an RBI prop this juiced in an MLB stadium, I promise you that. Alvarez hits in the heart of this lineup, so he should have plenty of opportunities to rack up the RBIs here against Quantrill and the Rockies.

Colorado's starting pitcher has been on the decline for a while now, and this season has been no different. Quantrill owns a 3.98 xERA and 5.20 xFIP, indicating that he is a mediocre pitcher at best. Houston should be able to whip him today, as they own a 106 wRC+ as a lineup vs. right-handed pitching. That's the eighth-best offense against them in the league.

Ready for the fireworks?

Total Bases Prop Picks

Check out our Total Bases prop bets for today, find out who we think will get on base with their bat today

Rays' Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 TB at White Sox (-131, Caesars)

Diaz is questionable to play in this game right now, but sportbooks are listing his props, so it seems that they expect him to play tonight against Chicago. If he doesn't play, this will just get voided and it will be no harm no foul.

He's struggled to start the season, batting just .241 with only a single homer. However, I am very confident that he is going to turn things around at some point here, and perhaps this matchup today with RHP Jonathan Cannon will be the medicine he needs to get things going.

Cannon is a rookie, and this will be his third start in the big leagues. He's had one pretty good game and one terrible game, but this will not be an easy lineup for him to conquer. Tampa Bay owns a 103 wRC+ vs. right-handers, which is ninth-best in the league. Cannon has registered a massive 6.27 xERA in his two starts but does have a solid 3.41 xFIP. It doesn't help him that the White Sox have an awful defense, but I also just don't really think he can perform against an offense like this.

MLB Pitching Prop Picks

We are on different types of MLB player prop bets every day during the season, so in this pitching prop section you may find strikeout prop bets, earned runs allowed prop bets, total outs recorded bets and more as the season progresses and we gather more data on these pitchers. If it is an MLB prop bet about the big man on the hill you will find it here!

Strikeout Prop Picks

Find the best strikeout props for today's games. Check out our favorite strikeout predictions

Rangers RHP Michael Lorenzen Over 4.5 Strikeouts vs. Reds (-165, DraftKings)

Once again, we go 1-1 on strikeout props yesterday, and I would really like another 2-0 sweep like we had on Monday and Tuesday. Corbin Burnes let us down against the Athletics of all teams, as he only recorded 6 Ks when we needed him to have 8. Nevertheless, we move on to another matchup here where the pitcher should have an advantage.

Cincinnati's offense is pretty trash, owning an 82 wRC+ as a lineup vs. right-handed pitching. Not only are they bad against them, but they also are getting punched out on 28.6% of their at-bats, which is the highest strikeout rate in MLB vs. righties.

I think Lorenzen is bound for some serious regression, as he owns a huge 6.47 xERA and 3.94 xFIP in comparison to his 2.45 ERA. However, the Reds are not the offense that is likely to cause that.

Rockies SP Cal Quantrill Under 2.5 Strikeouts vs. Astros (-108, Caesars)

I know this number is extremely low at 2.5, but honestly, he could be pulled before he gets a single strikeout. Playing in Mexico City against this Houston lineup is like a death sentence, and I've already explained the numerous advantages that the Astros will have today.

In addition to all of that, Houston has the lowest strikeout rate in MLB vs. right-handed pitching, getting rung up on only 17.4% of their at-bats.

About BetQL MLB Player Prop Bets

Our team of MLB experts works tirelessly to identify the most advantageous MLB player prop bets every single day. We don't just throw out generic player prop predictions – we delve deep into matchups, player trends, and ballpark factors to pinpoint who is the best bet to hit a home run, which sluggers will rack up RBIs, and which dominant arms will rack up strikeouts. With BetQL's player prop insights, you'll have the edge you need to make informed decisions and potentially crush your MLB wagers.

Make sure to check back daily for MLB prop bets and start making better bets with BetQL.

Understanding MLB Player Prop Picks

MLB player props add an exciting layer to baseball betting by letting you wager on individual player performance, not just the game's outcome. Imagine you think a hitter is due for a big night – you can bet on whether they'll have more than a certain number of hits, RBIs (Runs Batted In), or even home runs. Pitchers get in on the action too, with props on strikeouts, walks, or innings pitched. These bets are typically presented in an "Over/Under" format, so you wager on whether the player's stat will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the number set by the sportsbook.

Example: You log on to DraftKings Sportsbook and go to an MLB game between the Cubs and White Sox. Scrolling to the player props tab, you'll see all kinds of props for you to bet on in the game. You consult this page and find that you really like a best bet on Luis Robert to get 2+ hits at -110 odds. If Robert is able to get two hits in the game of any kind, you win the bet!

You can place these bets at any sportsbook of your choosing, but we recommend using whatever book gives you the best number. If one book is offering -120, while the other is offering -110 and you want to bet it, always take the -110.

Indeed, we are going to crush MLB again this year, so subscribe today and let's send the books into panic mode.

What are MLB Player Props?

MLB player props, short for "proposition bets," are wagers in baseball that focus on the performance of individual players, separate from the final outcome of the game. Instead of betting on which team wins, you can predict a player's statistical output in various categories.

These bets are usually offered in an "Over/Under" format. You wager on whether a player's stat will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the number the sportsbook sets.

What are the Most Popular MLB Player Props?

The most popular MLB prop bets fall into two categories: hitting and pitching.

For hitters, fans love to chase the thrill of the long ball, making home run props the most popular. You can bet on a player to hit zero, one, or even two or more home runs in a game.

Following closely behind are strikeout props for pitchers. Here, you bet on whether a pitcher will record more (Over) or less (Under) than a specific number of strikeouts during their outing.

Other popular hitting props include:

• Total bases: This prop considers all the bases a player reaches (singles, doubles, triples, home runs) and lets you bet on an Over/Under for their total.
• RBI props: Here, you predict how many Runs Batted In a player will have.
• Multiple hits prop: This is a simpler bet on whether a player will record two hits or more in a game.

Tips for Betting on Props

Here are some over tips if you are betting MLB props bets for today:

• Player Trends: Look at a player's recent performance, especially against the opposing pitcher or in similar situations. Are they hitting hot? Struggling against a particular pitch type?
• Matchup Analysis: Consider the opposing pitcher's strengths and weaknesses. Does the hitter typically perform well against left-handed pitchers? Does the pitcher have trouble with power hitters?
• Park Factors: Ballparks can significantly impact offensive output. Some parks are known as "hitter havens" while others favor pitchers.
• Shop Around: Prop odds can vary between sportsbooks. Look for the most favorable line for your chosen bet using odds comparison tools.
• Focus on Specifics: Instead of a generic "over 1.5 home runs" prop, consider a more specific "to hit a home run" bet if you have strong reason to believe the player will go yard.
• Consider Trends, Not Just Stats: Don't just rely on a player's overall batting average. Hot streaks and recent performance are often more valuable indicators.
• Weather Conditions: Windy or rainy days can impact offense. Factor in weather forecasts when evaluating hitting props.
• Don't Overcomplicate: Start with simpler props like "over/under strikeouts" or "multiple hits" before venturing into more complex bets.

Tips for Best Bets to Hit a Home run Today

Home run props are some of the most exciting bets in baseball, offering the chance for big wins. Here are some tips to sharpen your home run prop betting strategy:

• Power Hitters: Focus on players known for their power. Look at career home run rates and recent hot streaks.
• Matchup Magic: See how the hitter fares against the opposing pitcher's repertoire. Does the pitcher struggle against certain swing types?
• Recent Performance: Is the hitter swinging a hot bat? Look for players hitting line drives consistently and making good contact..
• Hitter's Haven: Target games played in hitter-friendly ballparks with short fences or known to inflate offensive numbers (e.g., Coors Field).
• Windy Weather: Tailwinds blowing out can be your friend, potentially carrying fly balls further. Strong headwinds can suppress home runs.
• Daylight & Pitch Framing: Day games can favor hitters with better visibility. Consider the opposing catcher's framing skills, as a good framer can steal borderline strikes.
• Shop the Lines: Odds for home run props can vary. Use odds comparison tools to find the best value for your wager.
• Team Context: Look for teams facing weaker pitching staffs or with a high number of strikeouts, which can lead to more baserunners and potential home run opportunities.

How can you Predict who will hit a Home Run Today?

• Past performance: Players who have a history of hitting home runs are more likely to do so again in the future.
• Matchups: Players who are facing pitchers who they have traditionally hit well against are more likely to hit home runs.
• Current form: Players who are in good form, as evidenced by their recent batting statistics, are more likely to hit home runs.
• Weather conditions: Wind and humidity can affect the flight of the ball, and therefore the likelihood of a home run being hit.

What Should You Consider when Betting MLB Props?

• The pitcher. The pitcher is arguably the most important factor to consider when betting MLB props. Some pitchers are simply more difficult to hit than others. Look for pitchers with high strikeout rates and low walk rates. You'll also want to avoid pitchers who are known for giving up a lot of hits.
• The hitter. The hitter's recent form is another important factor to consider. Is the hitter in a good slump? If so, they may be more likely to get a hit. On the other hand, if the hitter is struggling, they may be less likely to get a hit. You should also consider the hitter's career stats against the opposing pitcher.
• The weather and ballpark. The weather and ballpark can also affect the outcome of MLB props. For example, wind can affect how far the ball travels, and some ballparks are more hitter-friendly than others.
• The lineup. The hitter's spot in the lineup can also affect their chances of getting a hit. For example, hitters who bat leadoff tend to get more hits than hitters who bat ninth.
• The odds. It's important to consider the odds before placing any bet. You should only bet on props where you think you have an edge, and you should always look for the best possible odds.
• Focus on one or two hitters. It's better to focus on a few hitters that you know well than to bet on a bunch of different hitters. This will help you to make more informed decisions and to avoid making impulsive bets.
• Don't be afraid to shop around for the best lines. Different sportsbooks will offer different lines on the same MLB props. It's important to shop around for the best lines so that you can maximize your potential winnings.
• Don't be afraid to lose. Everyone loses bets from time to time. It's important to not get discouraged when you lose, and to learn from your mistakes.

Who Has the Best MLB Props?

Obviously the answer is BetQL! Our team of experts spends hours every day researching MLB props and highlighting the best bets across the board. We also offer live MLB betting tips and advice to help you make informed decisions.

Here are some of the things that make BetQL a good choice for MLB prop betting:

• Wide variety of props: BetQL offers a wide variety of MLB props, including player props, team props, and game props. This gives you plenty of options to choose from, and you can find props that match your betting style and budget.
• Expert analysis: BetQL's team of experts provides in-depth analysis of each prop bet, including our thoughts on the best value. This can be very helpful for bettors who are new to prop betting or who don't have a lot of time to do their own research.

Here are some additional tips for finding the best MLB props:

• Shop around for the best odds. Different sportsbooks will offer different odds on the same MLB props. It's important to shop around for the best odds so that you can maximize your potential winnings.
• Look for value. When choosing a prop bet, look for one where you think the odds are in your favor. This means finding a bet where you think the probability of the outcome is higher than the implied probability in the odds.
• Consider your own knowledge and expertise. It's important to bet on props that you understand and that you have some knowledge about. If you're not familiar with a particular prop bet, it's best to avoid it.

What are the Best Sportsbooks to bet MLB Player Props?

The best sportsbook to bet MLB player props depends on a few factors, including your personal preferences and the specific prop bets you're interested in.

Here is a brief overview of what each sportsbook has to offer:

• FanDuel has a wide variety of MLB prop bets available, and they're known for their great promos for current users. For example, they often offer parlay insurance and bet boosts on MLB props.
• DraftKings has some of the best odds for betting MLB props. They also offer a variety of prop betting options, including player props, team props, and game props.
• BetRivers has a large number of MLB prop bets available, including many player props. They also offer a variety of bonuses and promotions for MLB bettors, such as parlay insurance and bet & get.
• Caesars has a wide variety of MLB prop bets available, and they're known for their daily odds boosts and "Quick Picks" betting markets.

Ultimately, the best way to choose a sportsbook for MLB prop betting is to compare the different options available and see which one best meets your needs. Consider factors such as the variety of prop bets offered, the odds, the bonuses and promotions, and the overall user experience.

Want More Betting Picks from BetQL ?

• MLB Computer Picks: Dive into the world of data-driven insights with BetQL's MLB computer picks. These picks leverage advanced stats to predict game outcomes and identify potential value bets.
• MLB Over/Under Picks: Thinking totals? BetQL's MLB Over/Under picks analyze pitching matchups and offensive trends to help you decide whether the total runs scored will go above or below the sportsbook line.
• MLB Public Betting Picks: Gain valuable intel on where the money is flowing with BetQL's MLB public betting picks. See which teams the public is backing and use this information to potentially fade the crowd or ride the wave of popular sentiment.
• NBA Prop Picks: Go beyond the game winner with BetQL's NBA prop picks. Find insights on player performance in categories like points, rebounds, and assists to add an exciting layer to your NBA betting strategy.
• NIT Picks: March Madness doesn't stop with the NCAA Tournament! BetQL offers NIT picks to help you navigate the National Invitation Tournament and potentially find betting gold.
• MLB Runline Picks: Get a head start with BetQL's MLB runline picks. These picks consider the projected margin of victory to help you decide which team will cover the runline spread.